Some people are saying this could go on until we get a vaccine. I'm more isolated than most, because I have no friends, I don't live with any kind of family or even a roommate. My only social connections were to the strangers I took classes and sparred with. I can talk to my mom on the phone, but aside from that, I'm just all alone in this apartment, with no end in sight.
I find this scenario implausible though. I'm not the only one feeling pressure here. This is putting all sorts of pressures on all sorts of people. I can't see this dragging out for over a year. I'm not sure people will even hold it together a month. I'm not sure what they're going to do to attempt to placate, suppress, or aggravate, how soon they might come up with a vaccine -or even a cure, who the hell knows. Whatever happens, we're going to need more than just hanging in there for 18 months or so, I'm thinking.
This hasn't even fully hit many poorer countries yet. We're not even seeing the full scope of the problem in the US, let alone the rest of the world. Some will handle it better than others. Some will handle it really badly, and that will impact everyone else. Nor are we seeing the psychological impact all this isolation and loss of livelihood will have on entire populations. With these different possibilities, from medical breakthroughs to social unrest and economic collapse, it seems to me something game changing is bound to happen well before they come up with a vaccine in the expected time frame.
I'm afraid when lockdowns and social distancing fail, what might happen is simply that we'll be forced to accept COVID19 as the new flu. Worldwide, millions will die, tens of millions will flood hospitals, sometimes suffering permanent lung damage. I'm not sure we're doing anything but staggering that right now.
Sunday, March 29, 2020
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